Copyright 20102023, The Conversation Media Group Ltd. Matt Keogh was described by Julie Bishop as a hipster Labor lawyer. What went wrong for Labor? The electorates also extends into Perth's Darling Range suburbs to include Karragullen and Roleystone. I truly see Hastie as Australias JFK. The loss of Boddington reduces the area of the electorate by around a third but the number of voters involved is small and the Liberal margin remains unchanged on 11.6%. A4 map of the electoral division of Canning (2021) [PDF 1.54MB], Map of the Division of Canning (2021) [PDF 3.08MB]. The results of the election are as follows: Bannister Ward: Amanda Spencer-Teo (expiry of term 18 October 2025) Beeliar Ward: Paul Tucek (expiry of term 18 October 2025) Minister for Industry, Energy and Emissions Reduction Angus Taylor, left, and Federal Member for Canning Andrew Hastie at Alcoa Pinjarra Alumina Refinery. Andrew Hastie is under no threat whatsoever. Skip to main content. The focus on the candidates, and the stories about Hastie, has been good for the Liberals. The former Uniting WA chief is the underdog in the race against Mr Hastie after he retained the seat for the Liberals at a by-election in 2015. ANGELA SMITH, SUSTAINABLE POPULATION PARTY. Katrina Love, Connor Whittle and Angela Smith. Canning lies just beyond the southern and south-eastern edge of the Perth metropolitan area. Elections 2023 News Live: Tripura Election 2023, Meghalaya, Nagaland Elections 2023 Date Schedule for Voting Counting and Assembly Election 2023 Latest News on ABP News | Page 371 . By Nathan Hondros. Also, unemployment is certainly becoming a problem in Armadale. June 8, 2022. His narrow margin in 2001 blew out to 59.5% in 2004, shrinking to 52.2% in 2010 before growing out to 61.8% in 2013. Note: The electoral division was jointly named for the federal election following the 2019 federal election . Hopefully he will be toppled since hes essentially another Dutton and is likely the hard rights replacement for Dutton after Dutton loses or retires. Waldeck has also coached basketball and is past president of the Mandurah Basketball Association. Before being elected at a 2015 by-election, Hastie was a serving SAS Captain and undertook several overseas deployments in Afghanistan and the Middle East. He joined the military in 2001 following the September 11 attacks and moved to Western Australia in 2010 to undertake SAS training. . Abbott's opponents didn't wait for the by-election, the coup that installed Malcolm Turnbull as Prime Minister coming in the week before the by-election. Assessment Canning is a safe Liberal seat. . Antony Green is the ABC's Chief Elections Analyst. Q: Any concluding observations youd like to make about the campaign so far? Federal election 2022 candidates for the Canning electorate. AEST = Australian Eastern Standard Time which is 10 hours ahead of GMT (Greenwich Mean Time). Candidate profile: Matt Canning for Avon School Board, November 2021 The Division of Canning is an Australian Electoral Division in Western Australia . Could Australia follow suit? Canning by-election candidate Andrew Hastie holds Tony Abbott's political future in his hands By Damien Murphy Updated September 12, 2015 12.58am first published at 12.00am University of Western Australia provides funding as a founding partner of The Conversation AU. In the last 12 years, Avon Schools have added AP courses and College Credit Plus classes for high school students to obtain college credits. Redistributions occur for the boundaries of divisions in a particular state, and they occur every seven years, or sooner if a state's representation entitlement changes or when divisions of a state are malapportioned.[7]. Candidate profile: John Weigman for Avon School Board, November 2021 Canning election candidates question and answer | ELECTION 2016. First Election This Boundary Was Used At: First federal election following the 2019 federal election. As of the 2022 election, it includes most of the Peel region, including the City of Mandurah and the Shires of Serpentine-Jarrahdale (including Byford and Mundijong), Murray (including Pinjarra, Yunderup and Dwellingup), and Waroona (including Waroona and Preston Beach). The current margin seems very inflated and Canning has a history of very strong swings in both directions. Two-and-a-half weeks out from polling day, Natalie Mast sat down with elections expert William Bowe to discuss the 12 candidates, the major parties' campaigns, and key issues in Canning. As a veterinarian for 36 years, Judith Congrene said her passions have expanded beyond animals to push for changes to support small business and to uphold human rights. in Western Australia".. I will ensure that Avons focus remains on academics while allocating district educational expenditures wisely, she said. Elections 2022. There is an emergency bushfire warning in place for Maintongoonin Victoria. City of Canning - Local Government elections Local Government Elections An Ordinary Postal Election was held on Saturday 16 October 2021. Chonkosaid Avon delivers an outstanding educational value: academic excellence at a reasonably low cost per pupil. Johnston was defeated herself by Labors Jane Gerick in 1998. Armadale, though, is a different story, because its fairly blue-collar and has a lot of first-home buyers. Held by the Liberal Party for the last 21 years, Labor is targeting Canning in its blitz of key seats it hopes to take from the Libs. No information on Ashely Elphin Williams was available. Because he stood up to the Taliban and hell stand up to criminals.. It should be a bell-weather seat It is interesting that the margin is 11.6% based on the redistribution so should be an impossible, but I note in the last election there were a number of Andrew Hastie signs scattered throughout the region so maybe it is a seat with an over inflated margin. ( Map) Background First created in 1949, this electorate is named Alfred Canning, who pioneered stock routes and rabbit proof fencing in Western Australia. Hunt holds a Master of Business Leadership from Curtin University and a Bachelor of Social Sciences from Edith Cowan University. According to WDs logic everyone will be pm. HAHAHHAHAHAHA Want to put my predictions against yours !!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!. First created in 1949, this electorate is named Alfred Canning, who pioneered stock routes and rabbit proof fencing in Western Australia. Mr Bedford comes from a working-class family who have lived in Mandurah for 50 years. A: The Perth to Mandurah rail line was a great public policy success that everybody associates with the last state Labor government. Before being elected at a 2015 by-election, Hastie was a serving SAS Captain and undertook several overseas deployments in Afghanistan and the Middle East. See also: Oregon's 4th Congressional District election, 2022 Hastie was re-elected in 2016 and 2019. As an incumbent, I have been involved in the districts decision-making over the past 12 years including the hiring of former Superintendent Mike Laub and current Superintendent Ben Hodge, Weigman said. Originally a rural seat, Canning withdrew into the edges of Perth's metropolitan area over several decades. Pinter, did not return a Morning Journal election questionnaire. [6], Since 1984, federal electoral division boundaries in Australia have been determined at redistributions by a redistribution committee appointed by the Australian Electoral Commission. However, ReachTEL has 80% of preferences from minor parties flowing to Labor, which is not believable. (Victories by a party of government are indicated by thick coloured underlining. She said this election The Greens had the chance to hold balance of power and ensure that there was a future for all of us. I support marriage equality because the state should not be discriminatory and all people in Australia are entitled to be treated equally. I will continue to be a good community partner working with the PTA and booster groups along with city leaders in Avon to ensure we have a strong relationship. The by-election in the seat of Canning was triggered by the death of sitting Liberal MP Don Randall on 21 July 2015. I agree he will hold with his margin cut in half. Who would you vote for? Jobs and crime, particularly drug-related crime, especially ice. Canning Paschim, West Bengal Election . Where Labor just hasnt been able to get over line. Will the we dont want Chinese workers coming over here stealing our jobs argument play a part? Candidate profile: Laura Chonko for Avon School Board, November 2021 The Sunday Times and PerthNow asked the leaders of the three big parties, Liberals, Labor and Greens, to state their cases on why people should vote for them. Randall tragic death would have aided the Liberals in the bye-election. Since the landslide election in 2018 that swept the populist former mayor of Mexico City and his Morena opposition movement into power, "AMLO" has sought to take his country back into the 20th . Labor should not be diverted from making this byelection a referendum on the Abbott government. All over Canning people are telling me theyre angry about Tony Abbotts failure to create jobs and his cuts to schools and hospitals. Ben Roberts-Smith case of any impact do you think? Ive dedicated my career to making life better for Western Australian families, and want to continue that work in the Federal Parliament, she said. Greens candidate for Canning Jodie Moffat. At the tail-end of a mining boom, it is imperative that we have a plan for jobs in the future. Making sure growth is aligned with infrastructure, while maintaining fiscal responsibility. Yoh An Yes. Following the death of sitting Liberal Party member Don Randall, a byelection will be held on September 19 for the federal seat of Canning. For supporting information, see Party codes, demographic ratings and seat status. Related Articles Liberal candidate Andrew Hastie has already survived a media storm surrounding his time served in Afghanistan. Committee Member - MNF Research Advisory Committee, PhD Scholarship - Uncle Isaac Brown Indigenous Scholarship, Associate Lecturer, Creative Writing and Literature. However, he is only 39 so its not as if he is in his twilight years. There are an awful lot of factors at play here, which makes it really messy to analyse. The city of Los Angeles, California, held general elections for mayor, city attorney, city controller, and city council on November 8, 2022. Gardiner left school at 15, studying first at TAFE then Curtin University where he earned an Arts degree. Teede started her career as a primary school teacher and taught across regional Western Australia before before becoming the Managing Director of the regional TAFE college in the Goldfields-Esperence region. It also includes suburbs of a more semi-rural nature in the Darling Scarp, including the Armadale suburbs of Ashendon, Bedfordale, Karragullen, Lesley, Mount Richon, Roleystone, and Wungong, part of the Gosnells suburb of Martin, and the Kalamunda suburbs of Canning Mills, Carmel, and Pickering Brook. [3] The Liberals retained the seat; however, Canning was the only Western Australian seat to see a two-party preferred swing toward the Australian Labor Party. The civil litigation lawyer and environmental activist says she is driven by the chance to give future generations the same opportunities in life in education and in the environment. Associate Director, Research Data & Strategy, The University of Western Australia, PhD Candidate, The University of Western Australia. Any insights. The landscape of the seat has changed over time, originally being a rural seat, then moving towards southern metropolitan areas and now taking in Mandurah. Mandurah is kind of a hybrid of a Perth Suburb and its own city, and the rest is rural-ish (except Byford which is also basically a suburb. The Division of Canning stretches from Byford and Carmel in the north to Wagerup in the south, and is largely based around the Peel region of Western Australia to the south of Perth. As Hastie gains more prominence in the hard right faction of the Liberal Party, he may be seen as a Dutton 2.0 which might make him the target of Getup or other such groups. Does Labor have the makings of a wedge issue here? Index to Candidates; Key . Gear was defeated in 1996 by Liberal candidate Ricky Johnston, who had previously ran against Gear at every election since 1984. Canning covers 4,245 square kilometres. First created in 1949, this electorate is named Alfred Canning, who pioneered stock routes and rabbit proof fencing in Western Australia. Vanessa Rauland, with Senators Scott Ludlam and Rachel Siewert is standing for the Greens. Josie's aged care home told her it was about to close, just three weeks after letting her move in, Prime minister denies changes to super accounts over $3m represent broken promise, 'Entirely reasonable' to spend money from super tax changes on expanding parental leave, crossbenchers say, Legal action launched against Queensland mine operator after allegations of fake coal quality reports, Calls for minister to resign over racing boss exit explanation, Queensland Health paid $18m in special leave to workers who did not comply with COVID vaccine mandates, Andrew Hastie former SAS captain holds seat. As an elected Greens representative, I will work hard to put these issues on the agenda. Overall, Avon Schools are in a strong position and have a great foundation from which they can continue to grow and develop, Canning said. By hiring highly talented leaders, staff and educators, Avon has been able to excel on school performance while still being financially responsible with taxpayer money.. Canning's drift upwards has been driven partly by boundary changes, the seat being based more in Perth's south-east suburbs when held by Labor in the 1980s and 1990s. Area 4,245 sq km Location description The Division of Canning consists of: Mandurah City Council, Guess who will look the Goose !??? As an electorate, Canning can be seen as divided into two main urban sectors Mandurah and Armadale with a smaller number living in the sort of semi-rural hinterland. Randall died suddenly in mid-2015, causing a by-election that was expected to be a test for Tony Abbott's continuing hold on the Liberal leadership. I believe Andrew Hastie is one of the strongest performers with his conviction on international issues (such as China). Address the learning gap created by disruption of the novel coronavirus pandemic in the 2020/2021 school year. Election | THERE are a dozen candidates in the Canning by-election on September 19. Who are they and what are the issues they are standing for? Anthony Gardyne said he felt compelled to run for the seat of Canning to restore a free and democratic society. None of the three main party candidates are able to vote in the election - Keogh and Hastie, who both moved into the electorate after being preselected, left it too late to change their enrolments. Greens candidate Jodie Moffat is again standing for Canning after running in the 2019 election. Canning had a Liberal margin of 4.3 percent leading into the 2010 election,[2] and was targeted by Labor, who stood high-profile candidate and former state Labor MP Alannah MacTiernan. Could have an impact especially if Hastie gets somehow involved in it due to his SAS history. Randall held Canning for over a decade, winning re-election in 2004, 2007, 2010 and 2013. Armadale being the area of the Canning electorate which is the most naturally favourable area of it for Labor and also the area that swung . Election | We're on the eve of the Canning byelection and the nation's interest has turned from viewing Saturday as a poll on Tony Abbott to being a test of both new Prime Minister . Have your say in our comments below, Andrew Hastie is standing for the Liberal Party. Demographically wise, what seat or area would Canning be similar to on the east coast? The remainder of the seat was split into north and south, with Serptentine-Jarrahdale, Armadale and Kalamunda council areas in the north, and Murray and Waroona council areas in the south. A software development manager for a Perth-based company. Sadie Canning was Western Australias, and possibly Australias, first Indigenous Australian nurse and matron who made a significant contribution to Australian health and Indigenous outcomes; and. She was defeated after a single term in 1998, as was her Labor successor Jane Gerick in 2001. He said he was tired of living under a bureaucratic dictatorship and in speaking with family, friends and people in the community he believed many Australians felt the same. If re-elected he wanted to be a champion for health, prioritise building a pedestrian footbridge for Madora Bay and Lakelands, and bolster economic and job opportunities including in the defence sector. Q: Thats fine if youre selling something. Peter van Onselen was on the show Insiders and mentioned four seats in WA that on internal polling are gone for the Liberals on current polling. If no candidate meets that threshold, the top two vote-getters will advance to a November 8 general election. Animal Justices lead candidate at the 2013 WA Senate election and 2014 WA Senate re-election. Enhancing safe walking and biking paths to and from the schools and popular destinations for students. What happened to the climate change vote? We care about the protection of your data. [1] Election | Matt Canning, Laura Chonko, Alissa Gault, Greg Pinter, Tara Tatman and John P Waldeck has worked throughout Perth in various management and supervisory roles in hospitality and construction. We must end this discrimination. Voters should re-elect me to the Avon Local Schools Board of Education because throughout my tenure the district continues to show its fiscal responsibility by remaining in the bottom 8 percent of school district expenditure per pupil while continuing to be recognized as a high achieving school district by the state of Ohio, Tatman said. It cant draw on a broader narrative that includes the economy and voters hip-pockets. Or the oily seductive lasciviousness of Tricky Dicky, or pork Bariilaro !!. If elected, Mr Bedford believes he can make Canning and Western Australia an even better place for everyone to live. Compare their meagre vanity, arrogance, & propagandising, to the squalid excesses of the PM, Dan Andrews, or KK. Additionally, a protest vote is expected as voters mark their dissatisfaction with the Abbott government. By working together, both the City of Avon and the Avon Local Schools ensure that the city of Avon is a destination school district where parents want to raise their children. Siwes has since established a local cleaning business in the wake of her dismissal. Liberal MP Andrew Hastie, who has held onto the seat for close to seven years, lives in Mandurah with his wife Ruth and three children Jonathan, Beatrice, and Jemimah. To make a comment or suggest a change to the election site, pleasecontact us. While I do not support it, I support the idea of letting Australian men and women decide the issue rather than politicians. So, the sentiment might be that were strong trading partners with China and need to do what we can to strengthen the relationship. Provide the best opportunities, programs, facilities and support to students. He was also been an adviser on Operation Sovereign Borders. So, using these issues becomes counter-productive, and it has too narrow a front to attack on. She was the Greens candidate for Mandurah at the 2017 state election. Presumably Labor have thought this through and its not a coincidence that Metronet has been re-launched at this time. PVO either misspoke or has started making stupid predictions again. I am proud to be standing with a political party that supports marriage equality. History [ edit] The Canning Stock Route. A property valuer who previously contested the seat at the 2010 federal election and was the Australian Christians lead candidate for the Senate in 2013. He serves on the Joint Statutory committee on Intelligence and Security and the Joint Standing Committee on Foreign Affairs, Defence and Trade. Mandurah has a significant retiree population who dont tend to be all that volatile in their voting behaviour. It was the only Western Australian seat to record a swing to Labor at the election. New Liberal candidate Andrew Hastie was elected despite the Liberal margin being halved by a 6.5% swing, the swing attracting less attention given it came after the change of leadership. In 2007, WorkChoices didnt resonate in WA because we were in a sellers market for labour due to the boom. A primary was scheduled for June 7, 2022. cheers wd. A teacher who ran as an independent in the 2014 Senate re-election and the 2014 Vasse by-election. The people of Canning need an experienced advocate to take up their concerns in Canberra and thats what I will be. The late Don Randall was a popular Mp but its not the only reason. Running for the second time, Jodie Moffat's campaign comes from a desire to fight for climate action and wanting children to have the same quality of life she had growing up. GREG SMITH, AUSTRALIAN DEFENCE VETERANS PARTY. A: Western Australia generally has Labor starting from a long way behind. He worked as Sandusky bureau chief from 2000 to 2008. What might happen at the Victorian and WA federal redistributions. My feeling is that the Abbott government has narrowed itself to very few lines of attack national security and union corruption and it has overreached on both of them. He said his approach takes a long-term view for the district to prepare students for all facets of post-high school life, including college, trades, military service or entering the workforce. He listed (Swan, Pearce, and Hasluck). He said Australia has become a country he barely recognises due to lockdowns and mandates and he wanted to end the tyranny of the two-party system. Abbott is on record saying the government doesnt fund rail projects. However, Randalls personal vote was estimated to be around 5%. Semi-retired. Likely LNP retain but Canning could be a smoky if state election allegiances carry over more to the federal election than most expect. @Redistributed Not from WA but my working assumption is something like West Gippsland between Pakenham and the Latrobe Valley, or Ipswich and the Lockyer Valley. Presumably there comes a time when the electorate says now hang on a minute, and the advantage passes to Labor who can oppose what the government is doing without the public accepting that Labor is soft on terror. Please note: this is a change from previous elections. | Paul Pahoresky, Chicago Mayor Lori Lightfoot concedes defeat, Southern California home sales fall to all-time low, Zero-calorie sweetener linked to heart attack and stroke, study finds, As many as 700,000 Illinois residents could lose Medicaid health coverage this year, Balloon ban made official in Laguna Beach, Do Not Sell/Share My Personal Information. From what I can see Labor hasnt named a candidate for the seat yet. Why do we want a former SAS tough guy? (Map). Since 1980 it has been located in the southern suburbs of the two largest cities in Western Australia, Perth and Mandurah. Create the best learning environment possible. For most of its last three decades, it has been a highly marginal seat due to the balanced proportion of the urban north and the rural south, changing hands between the Australian Labor Party and the Liberal Party. You could score $50,000 for being the seasons top tipper. 2016 federal election House of Representatives results for Canning, 2013 federal election House of Representatives results for Canning, 2010 federal election House of Representatives results for Canning, 2007 federal election House of Representatives results for Canning, 2004 federal election House of Representatives results for Canning, Party codes, demographic ratings and seat status, Sadie Miriam Canning MBE, 19302008. Freo favourite set to expand on Cappuccino Strip, Survey sees call to bring Nedlands into the 21st century, Get your tickets for Perths most celebrated social event, Ripple effect: Footballers reflect on horror bombings, West Australian Newspapers Limited 2023. The major parties have officially endorsed their candidates for next month's federal Canning by-election. As I said, it is blue-collar, it doesnt have a large fly-in fly-out workforce as there arent a lot of people working in the mining industry there. Name Derivation: Jointly named in honour of: Sadie Miriam Canning MBE, 1930-2008. Having worked for mineral exploration companies, and following postgraduate studies, Gardiner moved to the eastern states and completed a Master of Natural Resources. Podcast #86: Introduction to the NSW election, When local council parties break into state politics. New Liberal candidate Andrew Hastie was elected despite the Liberal margin being halved by a 6.5% swing, but the swing attracted far less attention than it would have if Abbott had still been Leader. Rudd then took it off the agenda and proposed a mining tax which did huge damage to his popularity in the polls. Its largest population centre is the City of Mandurah local government area to the south of Perth, also taking in the rural Boddington, Waroona, Murray and Serpentine-Jarrahdale Shires. Hastie will be PM by 2028 . Geography South of Perth. Her latest role was as the Uniting Church chief executive. Randall's lost 4% from his margin at the 2007 election and it was shaved further by a redistribution ahead of the 2010 election. The electorates also extends into Perth's Darling Range suburbs to include Karragullen and Roleystone. The Division of Canning is an Australian Electoral Division in Western Australia. By Nathan Hondros. An environmental scientist who is also a mature-age arts/law student at Murdoch University. School board members earn $125 per board meeting, up to $250 a month, and are reimbursed for mileage for travel related to work for the school district, said district Treasurer Sadie Fox. Hastie was re-elected with a swing against him in 2016, but restored the Liberal margin back to former levels at the 2019 election. (Victories by a party of government are indicated by thick coloured underlining. But that was a while ago and he hasnt seem to eventuate too much since then. In mid-2015 Randall died suddenly, producing a by-election that was expected to be a test for Tony Abbott's continuing hold on the Prime Ministership. These boundary changes took place at the 2022 election. So, theres a tendency to think anything we can do to increase trade will be a good thing, even if it may be a bit rough around the edges. Hallett held the seat until 1974, when the Liberal Partys Mel Bungey defeated him. Fatin transferred to the new seat of Brand in 1984, and the ALPs George Gear transferred into Canning from Tangney, which he had held after the 1983 election. About half of the seats population is in the Mandurah council area, and this area has been split into Mandurah North and Mandurah South, along the river. 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Jamie Van Burgel, Vimal Kumar Sharma and Greg Smith. A: Its probably a smart move in terms of coherent Liberal Party messaging. Defeating Gerick was Don Randall, who had previously represented Swan 1996-98. Tony Abbott was able to gain traction using a scare campaign on the CPRS. She said she wanted to be there for the people of Canning - hoping to bring more tourism to the area and get money back into the region. U.S. municipal elections, 2022. Since being elected he said he had worked hard to deliver for communities across the Canning electorate including roads and rail, health services, job opportunities, reliable mobile and internet coverage, and support for local volunteers. Everybody associates with the last state Labor government Partys Mel Bungey defeated him presumably Labor thought... Be treated equally he will hold with his margin cut in half the of. Seductive lasciviousness of Tricky Dicky, or pork Bariilaro!! performers with his conviction on issues. 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